WCS Predictor 2016WCS Wars

Simulation Info - - 10,000,000 samples#

Dear#

18.65% chances to qualify for Blizzcon
(1,865,393 / 10,000,000)

Rank #26
On team Samsung
Currently in GSL Preseason 1

Aligulac Ratings

vs : 2089
vs : 1986
vs : 2127
vs : 2153

WCS Points Stats

Minimum: 0
Chances to end up with 0 points: 0.15%
AFK Chances: 0%
Maximum: 11500
Mean: 1937
Median: 1750
Mode: 1300
Minimum while qualifying: 2125
Maximum while not qualifying: 3750
WCS Wars Value: 3750

Upcoming for Dear#

GSL Qualifiers Season 1 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 37.61% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 30.36% if they get 1st, or 11.6% if they don't.ByuN has a 52.09% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 90.78% if they get 1st, or 76.68% if they don't.INnoVation has a 50.93% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 90.32% if they get 1st, or 75.87% if they don't.Solar has a 48.63% chance to win, going from 75.25% to 84.46% if they get 1st, or 66.53% if they don't.And 156 more probable winners.

GSL Code A Season 1 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 37.61% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 30.36% if they get 1st, or 11.6% if they don't.ByuN has a 52.09% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 90.78% if they get 1st, or 76.68% if they don't.INnoVation has a 50.93% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 90.32% if they get 1st, or 75.87% if they don't.Solar has a 48.63% chance to win, going from 75.25% to 84.46% if they get 1st, or 66.53% if they don't.And 156 more probable winners.

GSL Code S Season 1 (unscheduled)

Dream, First, Impact, Armani, Super, Cure, MC, Apocalypse, and Sora must win this tournament!Dear has a 1.63% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 89.89% if they get 1st, or 17.48% if they don't.herO has a 10.73% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.65% if they get 1st, or 82.83% if they don't.ByuN has a 7.88% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.77% if they get 1st, or 82.68% if they don't.INnoVation has a 7.12% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.81% if they get 1st, or 81.95% if they don't.And 47 more probable winners.

GSL Qualifiers Season 2 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 31.31% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 15.86% if they get 1st, or 19.93% if they don't.TY has a 31.88% chance to win, going from 27.62% to 23.61% if they get 1st, or 29.49% if they don't.Life has a 31.8% chance to win, going from 33.43% to 28.79% if they get 1st, or 35.59% if they don't.ByuL has a 31.8% chance to win, going from 50.7% to 47.79% if they get 1st, or 52.06% if they don't.And 159 more probable winners.
+ Show More Upcoming +

GSL Code A Season 2 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 35.42% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 21.99% if they get 1st, or 16.82% if they don't.ByuN has a 41.36% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 85.98% if they get 1st, or 82.65% if they don't.INnoVation has a 41.12% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 85.51% if they get 1st, or 81.63% if they don't.MyuNgSiK has a 40.88% chance to win, going from 37.59% to 36.39% if they get 1st, or 38.42% if they don't.And 158 more probable winners.

GSL Code S Season 2 (unscheduled)

Dream, First, Impact, Armani, Super, Cure, MC, and Apocalypse must win this tournament!Dear has a 1.62% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 89.9% if they get 1st, or 17.48% if they don't.ByuN has a 9.2% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.76% if they get 1st, or 82.43% if they don't.herO has a 8.33% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.84% if they get 1st, or 83.25% if they don't.INnoVation has a 8.09% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.78% if they get 1st, or 81.77% if they don't.And 45 more probable winners.

SSL Qualifiers Season 2 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 43.62% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 24.37% if they get 1st, or 14.23% if they don't.sOs has a 59.96% chance to win, going from 48.41% to 54.19% if they get 1st, or 39.75% if they don't.Rain has a 54.16% chance to win, going from 36.01% to 42.26% if they get 1st, or 28.62% if they don't.Life has a 52.74% chance to win, going from 33.43% to 39.71% if they get 1st, or 26.42% if they don't.And 157 more probable winners.

SSL Season 2 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 0.99% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 94.2% if they get 1st, or 17.9% if they don't.ByuN has a 10.88% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 82.08% if they don't.INnoVation has a 10.36% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 81.29% if they don't.herO has a 8.46% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 83.22% if they don't.And 41 more probable winners.

GSL Qualifiers Season 3 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 27.86% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 10.03% if they get 1st, or 21.98% if they don't.Flash has a 28.97% chance to win, going from 7.28% to 3.53% if they get 1st, or 8.81% if they don't.TaeJa has a 28.83% chance to win, going from 5.73% to 2.72% if they get 1st, or 6.95% if they don't.aLive has a 28.79% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 15.8% if they get 1st, or 23.18% if they don't.And 161 more probable winners.

GSL Code A Season 3 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 36.77% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 19.85% if they get 1st, or 17.96% if they don't.Solar has a 41.38% chance to win, going from 75.25% to 75.54% if they get 1st, or 75.04% if they don't.INnoVation has a 41.3% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 83.13% if they get 1st, or 83.29% if they don't.ByuN has a 41.19% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 83.51% if they get 1st, or 84.39% if they don't.And 146 more probable winners.

GSL Code S Season 3 (unscheduled)

First, Impact, Armani, Cure, and Super must win this tournament!Dear has a 1.64% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 85.05% if they get 1st, or 17.55% if they don't.ByuN has a 9.69% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 82.37% if they don't.INnoVation has a 8.44% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.53% if they get 1st, or 81.72% if they don't.herO has a 7.39% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.75% if they get 1st, or 83.43% if they don't.And 43 more probable winners.

SSL Qualifiers Season 3 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 38.93% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 19.12% if they get 1st, or 18.35% if they don't.sOs has a 48.35% chance to win, going from 48.41% to 46.36% if they get 1st, or 50.33% if they don't.Rain has a 45.62% chance to win, going from 36.01% to 35.04% if they get 1st, or 36.81% if they don't.Life has a 44.85% chance to win, going from 33.43% to 32.68% if they get 1st, or 34.04% if they don't.And 155 more probable winners.

SSL Season 3 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 1.36% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 84.95% if they get 1st, or 17.74% if they don't.ByuN has a 10.27% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.58% if they get 1st, or 82.25% if they don't.INnoVation has a 9.22% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.63% if they get 1st, or 81.56% if they don't.herO has a 7.33% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.84% if they get 1st, or 83.43% if they don't.And 41 more probable winners.

Placeholder 25 (unscheduled)

Dear has a 1.51% chance to win, going from 18.65% to 36.17% if they get 1st, or 18.38% if they don't.ByuN has a 4.52% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 92.75% if they get 1st, or 83.62% if they don't.INnoVation has a 4.22% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 92.48% if they get 1st, or 82.82% if they don't.herO has a 3.46% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 93.76% if they get 1st, or 84.31% if they don't.And 61 more probable winners.

Final Seed Stats for Dear#

Final Match Stats for Dear#

Probability History for Dear#

WCS Points History for Dear#

Placements Table for Dear#

Blizzcon Chances When Placing
TournamentCurrently16th8th4th2nd1st
GSL Qualifiers Season 1 18.65%30.36%
GSL Code A Season 1 18.65%30.36%
GSL Code S Season 1 18.65%36.68%47.34%61.9%89.89%
GSL Qualifiers Season 2 18.65%15.86%
GSL Code A Season 2 18.65%21.99%
GSL Code S Season 2 18.65%37.46%48.52%62.85%89.9%
SSL Qualifiers Season 2 18.65%24.37%
SSL Season 2 18.65%21.12%35.42%56.9%70.76%94.2%
GSL Qualifiers Season 3 18.65%10.03%
GSL Code A Season 3 18.65%19.85%
GSL Code S Season 3 18.65%32.32%42.54%55.86%85.05%
SSL Qualifiers Season 3 18.65%19.12%
SSL Season 3 18.65%27.47%35.09%45.07%57.82%84.95%
Placeholder 25 18.65%36.17%

Events that will help or hurt Dear's chances of qualifying for Blizzcon#

Previous Matches for Dear#

Dec 16: Dear lost to ByuL in GSL Preseason 1 round of 16Dec 24: Dear beat Rogue in GSL Preseason 2 round of 16Dec 25: Dear beat jjakji in GSL Preseason 2 quarterfinalsDec 26: Dear lost to MyuNgSiK in GSL Preseason 2 semifinalsTotal: 2-2, vsT: 1-0, vsZ: 1-1, vsP: 0-1