WCS Predictor 2016WCS Wars

Simulation Info - - 10,000,000 samples#

aLive#

21.05% chances to qualify for Blizzcon
(2,105,409 / 10,000,000)

Rank #22
On team SBENU

Aligulac Ratings

vs : 1989
vs : 1951
vs : 1967
vs : 2049

WCS Points Stats

Minimum: 300
Chances to end up with 300 points: 0.25%
AFK Chances: 0%
Maximum: 10125
Mean: 2092
Median: 1925
Mode: 1550
Minimum while qualifying: 2100
Maximum while not qualifying: 3750
WCS Wars Value: 3925

Upcoming for aLive#

SSL Season 1

aLive has a 2.04% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 91.1% if they get 1st, or 19.59% if they don't.ByuN has a 12.96% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.54% if they get 1st, or 81.72% if they don't.INnoVation has a 12.95% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.46% if they get 1st, or 80.81% if they don't.herO has a 11.29% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.78% if they get 1st, or 82.71% if they don't.And 12 more probable winners.

aLive vs Classic

in SSL Season 1 round of 16.
Classic has the #4 Headband.
aLive is at 21.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.22% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 37.58%, or 10.39% if they lose.
VS
Classic is at 71.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.91%, or 53.74% if they lose.

GSL Qualifiers Season 1 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 30.21% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 32.94% if they get 1st, or 15.91% if they don't.ByuN has a 52.09% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 90.78% if they get 1st, or 76.68% if they don't.INnoVation has a 50.93% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 90.32% if they get 1st, or 75.87% if they don't.Solar has a 48.63% chance to win, going from 75.25% to 84.46% if they get 1st, or 66.53% if they don't.And 156 more probable winners.

GSL Code A Season 1 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 30.21% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 32.94% if they get 1st, or 15.91% if they don't.ByuN has a 52.09% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 90.78% if they get 1st, or 76.68% if they don't.INnoVation has a 50.93% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 90.32% if they get 1st, or 75.87% if they don't.Solar has a 48.63% chance to win, going from 75.25% to 84.46% if they get 1st, or 66.53% if they don't.And 156 more probable winners.
+ Show More Upcoming +

GSL Code S Season 1 (unscheduled)

Dream, First, Impact, Armani, Super, Cure, MC, Apocalypse, and Sora must win this tournament!aLive has a 0.58% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 95.18% if they get 1st, or 20.62% if they don't.herO has a 10.73% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.65% if they get 1st, or 82.83% if they don't.ByuN has a 7.88% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.77% if they get 1st, or 82.68% if they don't.INnoVation has a 7.12% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.81% if they get 1st, or 81.95% if they don't.And 47 more probable winners.

GSL Qualifiers Season 2 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 29.59% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 20.31% if they get 1st, or 21.37% if they don't.TY has a 31.88% chance to win, going from 27.62% to 23.61% if they get 1st, or 29.49% if they don't.Life has a 31.8% chance to win, going from 33.43% to 28.79% if they get 1st, or 35.59% if they don't.ByuL has a 31.8% chance to win, going from 50.7% to 47.79% if they get 1st, or 52.06% if they don't.And 159 more probable winners.

GSL Code A Season 2 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 30.09% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 26.81% if they get 1st, or 18.58% if they don't.ByuN has a 41.36% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 85.98% if they get 1st, or 82.65% if they don't.INnoVation has a 41.12% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 85.51% if they get 1st, or 81.63% if they don't.MyuNgSiK has a 40.88% chance to win, going from 37.59% to 36.39% if they get 1st, or 38.42% if they don't.And 158 more probable winners.

GSL Code S Season 2 (unscheduled)

Dream, First, Impact, Armani, Super, Cure, MC, and Apocalypse must win this tournament!aLive has a 0.54% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 95.13% if they get 1st, or 20.65% if they don't.ByuN has a 9.2% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.76% if they get 1st, or 82.43% if they don't.herO has a 8.33% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.84% if they get 1st, or 83.25% if they don't.INnoVation has a 8.09% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.78% if they get 1st, or 81.77% if they don't.And 45 more probable winners.

SSL Qualifiers Season 2 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 19.71% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 15.24% if they get 1st, or 22.48% if they don't.sOs has a 59.96% chance to win, going from 48.41% to 54.19% if they get 1st, or 39.75% if they don't.Rain has a 54.16% chance to win, going from 36.01% to 42.26% if they get 1st, or 28.62% if they don't.Life has a 52.74% chance to win, going from 33.43% to 39.71% if they get 1st, or 26.42% if they don't.And 157 more probable winners.

SSL Season 2 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 0.91% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 99.1% if they get 1st, or 20.34% if they don't.ByuN has a 10.88% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 82.08% if they don't.INnoVation has a 10.36% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 81.29% if they don't.herO has a 8.46% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 83.22% if they don't.And 41 more probable winners.

GSL Qualifiers Season 3 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 28.79% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 15.8% if they get 1st, or 23.18% if they don't.Flash has a 28.97% chance to win, going from 7.28% to 3.53% if they get 1st, or 8.81% if they don't.TaeJa has a 28.83% chance to win, going from 5.73% to 2.72% if they get 1st, or 6.95% if they don't.Bomber has a 28.78% chance to win, going from 5.39% to 2.57% if they get 1st, or 6.54% if they don't.And 161 more probable winners.

GSL Code A Season 3 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 31.01% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 25.23% if they get 1st, or 19.18% if they don't.Solar has a 41.38% chance to win, going from 75.25% to 75.54% if they get 1st, or 75.04% if they don't.INnoVation has a 41.3% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 83.13% if they get 1st, or 83.29% if they don't.ByuN has a 41.19% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 83.51% if they get 1st, or 84.39% if they don't.And 146 more probable winners.

GSL Code S Season 3 (unscheduled)

First, Impact, Armani, Cure, and Super must win this tournament!aLive has a 0.52% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 91.58% if they get 1st, or 20.69% if they don't.ByuN has a 9.69% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 82.37% if they don't.INnoVation has a 8.44% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.53% if they get 1st, or 81.72% if they don't.herO has a 7.39% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.75% if they get 1st, or 83.43% if they don't.And 43 more probable winners.

SSL Qualifiers Season 3 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 27.01% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 17.93% if they get 1st, or 22.21% if they don't.sOs has a 48.35% chance to win, going from 48.41% to 46.36% if they get 1st, or 50.33% if they don't.Rain has a 45.62% chance to win, going from 36.01% to 35.04% if they get 1st, or 36.81% if they don't.Life has a 44.85% chance to win, going from 33.43% to 32.68% if they get 1st, or 34.04% if they don't.And 155 more probable winners.

SSL Season 3 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 0.58% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 93.72% if they get 1st, or 20.63% if they don't.ByuN has a 10.27% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 99.58% if they get 1st, or 82.25% if they don't.INnoVation has a 9.22% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 99.63% if they get 1st, or 81.56% if they don't.herO has a 7.33% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 99.84% if they get 1st, or 83.43% if they don't.And 41 more probable winners.

Placeholder 25 (unscheduled)

aLive has a 0.89% chance to win, going from 21.05% to 41.23% if they get 1st, or 20.87% if they don't.ByuN has a 4.52% chance to win, going from 84.03% to 92.75% if they get 1st, or 83.62% if they don't.INnoVation has a 4.22% chance to win, going from 83.23% to 92.48% if they get 1st, or 82.82% if they don't.herO has a 3.46% chance to win, going from 84.63% to 93.76% if they get 1st, or 84.31% if they don't.And 61 more probable winners.

Final Seed Stats for aLive#

Final Match Stats for aLive#

Probability History for aLive#

WCS Points History for aLive#

Placements Table for aLive#

Blizzcon Chances When Placing
TournamentCurrently16th8th4th2nd1st
GSL Qualifiers Season 1 21.05%32.94%
GSL Code A Season 1 21.05%32.94%
GSL Code S Season 1 21.05%43.51%55.7%70.44%95.18%
SSL Season 1 21.05%10.39%24.23%47.89%62.63%91.1%
GSL Qualifiers Season 2 21.05%20.31%
GSL Code A Season 2 21.05%26.81%
GSL Code S Season 2 21.05%44.42%56.95%71.13%95.13%
SSL Qualifiers Season 2 21.05%15.24%
SSL Season 2 21.05%29.05%48.26%72.97%86.39%99.1%
GSL Qualifiers Season 3 21.05%15.8%
GSL Code A Season 3 21.05%25.23%
GSL Code S Season 3 21.05%39.01%50.45%64.68%91.58%
SSL Qualifiers Season 3 21.05%17.93%
SSL Season 3 21.05%41.37%50.89%62.01%73.94%93.72%
Placeholder 25 21.05%41.23%

Events that will help or hurt aLive's chances of qualifying for Blizzcon#

Previous Matches for aLive#

Total: 0-0, vsT: 0-0, vsZ: 0-0, vsP: 0-0